☎ Quantifying Risk Analysis in Uncertain Times with Oracle Crystal Ball software

Description: Add Primavera P6 Consulting to Favorites • ☎ Contact Us Our eBay Store • Oracle Primavera software • Oracle Crystal Ball • Primavera Risk Analysis • Primavera Technical Support Read our Buyer's Guide to Purchasing Crystal Ball software on eBay Quantifying Risk withOracle Crystal Ball v11The #1 Tool in Uncertain Times + 60 Days Support “Great software. Good seller. Thank you.” Know How to Differentiate the Experienced Seller from the Bedroom SellerRead our Guide to Purchasing Specialist Products on eBay 1. Description Oracle® Crystal BallVersion 11 (32 / 64 bit)Now available in 19 Languages !!! “Doing a business-case analysis without Crystal Ball is like driving with your lights off at night.” ~ Chad Lander, Senior Financial Analyst, Sprint " Great software. Good seller. Thank you. " ~ Crystal Ball Buyer 1. Product Description FULL software, including a Lifetime License.Videos teaching you how to use Crystal Ball to Quantify Risk.Tutorial Exercises + Excel sample filesFREE 60 Days Technical Support, with option to extend.Risk analysis using Crystal Ball relies on developing a mathematical model in Microsoft Excel that represents a particular situation of interest. After developing the deterministic model, you replace point estimates with probability distribution assumptions and forecast the distribution of the output. The forecasted output distribution is used to assess the level of risk of the situation. A collection of Excel models are included to get you started. You should have a supported version of Microsoft Excel already installed on your computer to be able to use Crystal Ball. This version of Crystal Ball can be installed in one of the following 19 Languages:Arabic, Chinese (Simplified), Chinese (Traditional), Danish, Dutch, English (US), Finnish, French (Standard)German, Italian, Japanese, Korean, Norwegian, Polish, Portugese (Brazilian)Russian, Spanish, Swedish, Turkish New Features The following new features were introduced in release 11.1.2.4: Predictor Enhancements The Predictor feature of Crystal Ball includes the following enhancements: You can choose to paste predicted values as “random walk” formulas that refer to assumption cells on a separate support sheet. When you run a Crystal Ball simulation, the formulas generate random walks of the future values within the specified confidence intervals. After you run a prediction, you can view random walks of the predicted values for each series for analytic, training, and demonstration purposes. The random walks are shown as animations in the future values section of the chart. By default, predicted data values are enclosed by lines that show the upper and lower predictions intervals. The space in between is shaded, similar to a fan chart. The Predictor Results chart has new Chart Preferences settings that enable you to set line size as well as line color and type. The Simulation series is added to customize prediction animations described previously. Cell Preferences EnhancementsA new Functions tab is added to determine whether spreadsheet functions calculate only during simulations or every time the spreadsheet recalculates. When not running simulations, values can be set to the distribution mean, median, or a specified percentile, or they can vary randomly. Assumption values can also be set to the distribution mean, median, or a percentile. What Oracle Crystal Ball Can Do (3-minute video) • Crystal Ball Training Tutorials also available New Features • Crystal Ball in Lean Six Sigma • Financial Forecasting & Analysis • Contact Us for a FREE Trial 2. What is Oracle Crystal Ball? Crystal Ball is for anyone who uses spreadsheets and needs to forecast uncertain results. From Financial Analysts to Environmental geologists, cost engineers, environmental scientists, hydro-geologists and project managers all rely on Crystal Ball. Transform your Microsoft Excel spreadsheets to get a credible picture of risk, create accurate predictive models, search for the best solution and maximize appreciation of the risks that you are facing. From Monte Carlo simulation to forecasting and optimization, Crystal Ball software tools deliver. Crystal Ball is the industry-standard for oil, gas and mining company executives to analyse the uncertainties in their spreadsheet models. Crystal Ball is the easiest way to perform fast risk analysis and optimization in your own spreadsheets. With one integrated tool-set, you can use your own historical data to build accurate models, automate "what if" analysis to understand the effect of underlying uncertainty and search for the best solution or project mix. Oracle Crystal Ball is the leading spreadsheet-based software suite for predictive modeling, forecasting, simulation, and optimization. Used by 85% of the Fortune 500 and taught in the top 50 American MBA programs, Oracle Crystal Ball gives you unparalleled insight into the critical factors affecting risk, and calculates the likelihood you will reach your objectives. With Oracle Crystal Ball, you can make the right tactical decisions to move you toward your strategic goals and gain a competitive edge under even the most uncertain market conditions. This latest version of Oracle’s Crystal Ball will get you started with spreadsheet-based Monte Carlo simulation, analysis tools and reports. A realistic and accessible way of modeling uncertainty, Crystal Ball measures and reports on the risk inherent in your key metrics.This edition includes Monte Carlo simulation, time-series forecasting, analysis tools and reports, capability metrics for Six Sigma applications, and a full suite of additional tools to help you set up and analyze your models. Oracle Crystal Ball is an easy-to-use yet powerful Monte Carlo simulation add-in to Microsoft Excel that allows analysis of the risks and uncertainties associated with Microsoft Excel spreadsheet models. Monte Carlo simulation is a well-established method for defining the uncertain components in a mathematical model. It involves generating numerous scenarios from a user-defined range of values, or a probability distribution for each uncertain parameter in a spreadsheet. It calculates the result for each scenario, generating a range of results, which is evaluated to assess risk. Crystal Ball is widely used in education, financial planning, and in the environmental, oil and gas, and telecommunications industries, among other fields. There are many statistical distributions to choose from, or the user can enter a custom distribution. Crystal Ball’s functionality includes sensitivity analysis, correlation, and historical data fitting. The sensitivity analysis indicates which of the uncertain variables are most critical, and thus dominate the uncertainty associated with the model. The correlation feature allows the user to link uncertain variables to account for their positive or negative dependencies. If historical data are available, the data-fitting feature can be used to compare the data to the range of results and calculate the parameter values that yield the best fit to the data. Typical Industry Use for Oracle Crystal Ball:Financial PlanningProject Cost EstimationContinuous ImprovementHospital Administration, e.g.Forecasting Growth in Bed DemandsSales ForecastingCapital BudgetingOil & Gas Applications:Capacity PlanningCost EstimationStrategic Financial AnalysisInventory OptimizationOperations ResearchProject SelectionResources AllocationSales Forecasting and ModelingSix Sigma / Design for Six Sigma / Lean ManufacturingSupply Chain Management Crystal Ball’s clear graphics and reports facilitate inclusion of as little or as much detail as needed to present the results effectively. The user’s manual is well written and includes straightforward directions to get users started, as well as in-depth discussions of the underlying theory. Crystal Ball is easy to use; experienced Excel users should have a simulation running in 30 minutes or less. Crystal Ball will get you started with spreadsheet-based Monte Carlo simulation, analysis tools and reports. A realistic and accessible way of modeling uncertainty, Crystal Ball measures and reports on the risk inherent in your key metrics. With Crystal Ball, you can make the right tactical decisions to reach your objectives and gain a competitive edge under even the most uncertain market conditions. 3. Who Uses Crystal Ball? Crystal Ball is for decision-makers, from the analyst exploring the potential for new markets to the scientist evaluating experiments and hypotheses. Crystal Ball has been developed with a wide range of spreadsheet uses and users in mind. You do not need highly advanced statistical or computer knowledge to use Crystal Ball to its full potential. All you need is a basic working knowledge of the personal computer and the ability to create a spreadsheet model in Microsoft Excel. 4. Why Buy from Primavera P6 Consulting?FREE 60 Days after-sales / technical support to get you up and running with your software as quickly as possible.Extended Technical Support available directly from us.Oracle trained and accredited technicians to assist you with any issues.We specialize in assisting small companies and self-employed contractors.We have satisfied customers from all over the world: Australia, Canada, Germany, New Zealand, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, United Kingdom, USA and UAE.You are buying from a seller who knows the product, and will offer you support, guidance, tutorials, and even assist you with creating your spreadsheet model in Microsoft Excel.Established Seller since February 2003 we are the most experienced seller of this software on eBay. See our Top Quality Reviews. 5. What Our Customers Say About Us650+ Customer Feedbacks ★ Not all our customers leave feedbacks for their transaction. We are grateful to our customers who take the time to share their warm compliments with us. ★ Great software. Good seller. Thank you. Oracle Crystal Ball software version 11.1.2 (#120795009336) Our feedbacks for similar Oracle products speak for themselves: AWESOME! Program loaded perfectly! Wonderful install support & instructions! 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Payment, Shipping & Delivery We accept payment via Paypal, or our UK Business Bank Account.Within 1 working day of payment, we will contact you with a Request for Further Information and Licenses, to ensure full compatibility of your computer system with the software.Once we receive your response, we will confirm and dispatch your order within 1 Business Day if payment is credited into our Business Bank Account. If payment is made via Paypal, we may request further information from the buyer to validate their identity.Shipping of orders is dependent on the timely response to our RFI.We offer a range of delivery options/services and therefore you should ensure that you select the service most suitable for your needs when placing your order. Request to change orders must be made within 24 hours of the original order. We use a range of third-party delivery service providers. Delivery of your order is the responsibility of these delivery services. Once your order has been dispatched, our liability is limited to the replacement of the product, after the time period specified by the postal services has lapsed.We always dispatch within the time-frame stated in our listing. Note there is a difference between "Dispatch Time" and "Delivery Time". We are 100% responsible for the "Dispatch Time", however, we have no control whatsoever, on the "Delivery Time". All deliveries are subject to postal services' terms and conditions. We dispatch to PO Box, GPO, or rental offices (even if the address is listed as confirmed by Paypal), only when payment is credited directly to our Business Bank Account. International customers are advised to contact us for alternative methods of payment and to avoid high-cost transfer (wire) charges.If time is of essence for the delivery of your product, we have a range of additional options, including electronic delivery anywhere in the world within 5 working hours. Contact us for terms and conditions. 7. 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We will respond to your message within 1 business day.Our software products come with a minimum of 30 Days FREE Technical Support, and no returns/refunds will be entertained unless the Buyer has used our Remote Technical Support Services and allowed our Technical support team to troubleshoot the issue.All returns must be authorized by us and accompanied by a Return Merchandise Authorisation (RMA).The extent of the seller's liability to the Buyer for any default or breach howsoever arising, shall in no case exceed the invoice value of the goods (or services) and the seller shall in no circumstances whatsoever be liable to the buyer or to any third party in respect of any direct, indirect or consequential loss or damage. About Us • Primavera P6 Products & Services • Oracle Crystal Ball • Primavera Risk Analysis • Technical Support Copyright © 2003 - 2024 Primavera P6 Consulting. All Rights Reserved.

Price: 825 USD

Location: Cheyenne, Wyoming

End Time: 2024-12-03T15:45:43.000Z

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